McCain Needs to Pick Up Virtually All of the Swing States to Win
The latest polls show even more that John McCain has a long up hill battle to wage over the next three weeks or so. He needs to change his tactics, because the ones he is using now are surely not working.
Way back in the beginning, when the state by state polls started coming out, we had John McCain with 19 states and a total of 157 Electoral College votes that were at least leaning in his direction. They were Alabama 9 votes Idaho 4 votes
Kentucky 8 votes Louisiana 9 votes Nebraska 5 votes
Oklahoma 7 votes Tennessee 11 votes Utah 5 votes
Wyoming 3 Texas 34 votes Alaska 3 votes
Arizona 10 votes, Arkansas 6 votes, Georgia 15 votes
Kansas 6 votes Mississippi 6 votes South Carolina 8 votes.
South Dakota 3 votes West Virginia 5 votes. He has not added any states to his total, but is leading in some of the swing states.
He is leading right now in Montana by 5, Indiana by 5 Missouri by 3, North Carolina by 3. This would add 16 electoral college votes and bring him to 152 .
As for Obama, he had 23 states, with a total of 236 Electoral College votes. They were Connecticut 7 votes District of Columbia 3 Hawaii 4 votes Illinois 21 votes Maine 4 votes
Vermont 3 votes Massachusetts 12 votes New York 31 votes
Rhode Island 4 votes California 55 votes Maryland 10 votes
New Jersey 15 votes Delaware 3 Minnesota 10 votes
Oregon 7 votes Pennsylvania 21 votes and Washington 11 votes.
Since then he has added Iowa with 7 votes, New Hampshire with 4 votes Michigan with 17 votes Wisconsin with 10 and New Mexico with 5 votes, bringing him to 279 Electoral College votes.
He is leading in Colorado by 6, Florida by 2, Nevada by 7, Ohio by 3, Virginia by 8, which would bring him to 353. There has not been a poll from North Dakota in a long while, so we are leaving it up for grabs.
Putting it simply, Obama can afford to lose a state or two, McCain needs to pick up virtually all of the swing states. And hold on to some that he already has where his margin has been slipping. Instead of trying to get his message across, going into details on his plans, he is taking the attack track and that is not what the voters want or need to hear. It will be the candidate who convinces the voters that he has the most solid plan for the future, not the one who focuses on negative campaigning.
Comment by Mankato on 10 October 2008:
Maybe if McCain were actually a conservative candidate, he might be doing okay. He is a man of little substance, and I will not be voting for him. This year it will be the Constitution Party candidate Chuck Baldwin for me.
Comment by Bill Vincent on 12 October 2008:
It is campaigns like the two we’re being spoon-fed by the networks that push people to the “other” parties. Paul, Barr, Nader, Baldwin etc. It looks like Obama is going to win it, at least it’s probably not going to be a damned 50/50 split like last time, though close enough to still display the heavily divisive nature of this nation’s society.
Comment by Rick Cain on 13 October 2008:
“McCain Needs to Pick Up Virtually All of the Swing States to Win”
Thats where the voting machines come in…
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