Based on what the Hillary, Obama and Paul campaigns have revealed, there’s a very high probability that Ron Paul significantly outraised both Hillary and Obama in Q4 in primary contributions.

Here’s what we know:

- Paul raised at least $19.5 million in Q4, all for the primary (from his press release)
- Hillary raised “over $100 million in 2007″ which “does not include an additional $10 million transferred from her senate account” (from her website)
- Hillary had raised $80.3 million as of Q3, not including the senate transfer (see FEC report)
- Hillary has reported in past quarters that about 20% of her total was dedicated for the general election (5 of 27 mil in Q3, 6 of 27 mil in Q2 – see CNN article)

So, if Hillary raised over $19.7 million in Q4 (100 – 80.3), it’s likely that only 80% of that, or $15.8 million, is for the primary.

Obama’s campaign merely said “Obama will have the financial resources” so it’s likely he has raised less than Hillary.

Bottom line: Paul appears to have outraised Hillary by $3.7 million! So who’s the most electable Republican now?

Originally posted January 2nd, 2008 by valleyforge at Daily Paul

*Note* Of course this is just speculation, but what great speculation it is!