Huckabee and Ron Paul are both growing very rapidly. Some question Huckabee’s growth, calling his supporters fickle. Huckabee is at 17% among likely republican voters according to the latest Rassmussen report. Ron Paul at the other hand is about to knock Mitt Romney down a notch and become 5^th in a crowded race.

Anybody who knows anything about the GOP, realized that Rudy Giuliani was not their candidate, he was the media’s darling and that was it. The longer he is on the campaign trail, the more support he loses. He can’t even go into public areas without being forced to leave by Ron Paul supporters.

Ron Paul is now polling 7% nationally, but even higher in the early primary states. Ron Paul supporters are die hard, and will not go down without a fight. His 7% nationally will turn into at least 14% into the polls. While most candidates supporters are only 50% likely to actually go out and vote, Ron Paul supporters are much more likely. Let’s take New Hampshire for instance where Ron Paul is polling 8%. If the election was held today that % may as well be doubled, while Mitt Romney’s 34%, would be dropped to around 20%. Giuliani’s supporters may not show up at all in New Hampshire, while Huckabee’s may. That is if Huckabee can hold onto his 14%

The true question of the campaign right now is, will Huckabee be able to hold his support? Maybe, but not until the election, Huckabee just does not have the funds to grow on this support. He has relied on the MSM thus far, but when negative information about Huckabee is leaked expect that squeaky clean, new guy image to die. Huckabee will always poll well with the religious right, but I doubt he will be able to hold his own with the fiscal conservatives. Those who listen to Huckabee have absolutely nothing to worry about, but those who look at the facts know they are in for a battle. The campaign just does not have the funds to defend against a big attack.

John McCain hurt himself big at the CNN YouTube debate, expect his “surge” to completely die off. Fred Thompson may just drop out before any primary happens. Tom Tancredo, just can’t build on his immigration issue. Duncan Hunter, surprisingly, hasn’t grown at all. Mitt Romney really has not been able to build a national campaign, and is relying on the early states. If Huckabee and Ron Paul can cut into Romney’s “commanding lead” in the early states, he will become a non issue. If Huckabee does not place 1^st or at least 2^nd in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada he will not be able to compete because he will not get the funds needed. Ron Paul, on the other hand, looks like he will have the funds to compete well into the primaries. His support will continue to grow well into the primaries.