Clinton Leads in Pennsylvania by at Least 6% and as Much as 20%
All the talk lately has been about Pennsylvania and the effect that the candidate’s comments are having on the Democratic primary. From the looks of the polls just in, and not only in Pennsylvania, they are having a big impact. At least until the Pennsylvania debate on Wednesday evening where things could change again.
First, Pennsylvania. Two polls were just released, one by Susquehanna Polling and Research, Inc. That shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by just 3%. However, the poll was taken between April 6-10 and surveyed 500 likely Democratic voters. At the same time the American Research Group, Inc. released their Pennsylvania poll taken between April 11 and 13 and it shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama by 20% – 57 to 37%. This is the first poll to be taken after the Barack Obama statement about bitterness in small towns. The respondents also stated that they were sick of all the Obama adds. Seems he has had a bit of an overkill problem. Quinnipiac University also has a Pennsylvania poll out taken between April 11-13 that shows Clinton leading by 6.
Public Policy Polling is just out with their latest poll from North Carolina and it shows Obama leading by 20%. Obama has had the lead in North Carolina all along, so it is very likely that there will not be that much of a negative reaction to his comments here.
According to the latest poll from Indiana by Survey USA, Clinton has made a small gain in Indiana as well. In this poll, she is leading 44% to 39%, a gain of 3% since the last poll taken two weeks ago. This one was taken 04/11/08 through 04/13/08 and is one of the largest, with over 1,600 voters participating.
In many cases, an issue like the statement made by Barack Obama makes an impact in the polls taken immediately after. Whether or not it has a lasting impact remains to be seen. This is a big week in Pennsylvania with the two candidates engaging in a debate on Wednesday night. The winner of the debate, if there is a clear winner will benefit greatly and the polls taken right after, will focus on both the debate and the issues. Pennsylvania is important not only for its delegates. A clear win in Pennsylvania can have an impact on the states that will follow. We will have an analysis of the debate up as soon as possible after it is over. One thing is for certain. It is going to be a long summer for the candidates.
Comment by LT -correction on 15 April 2008:
The polls for Pennsylvania shows that Hillary is even 20 points ahead. The is based on small sample (500-1000 calls).
I HAVE A NEWS FOR YOU. CHECK THIS WEBSITE http://www.free411.com/vote2008/
IT IS BASED ON 24,000 CALLS WHICH SHOWS THAT IF PEOPLE WOULD VOTE TOMORROW THEN:
HILLARY – 43%
OBAMA – 57%
UNDECIDED – 26%
NOT VOTING – 19%
FOR RE-DO IN MICHIGAN:
HILLARY 40%
OBAMA – 60%
FOR RE-DO IN FLORIDA:
Hillary – 47%
OBAMA – 53%
So now Hillary, as you see people are not as stupid as you think they are.
Comment by jacksmith on 16 April 2008:
MY FELLOW BITTER, STUPID, WORKING CLASS PEOPLE.
YOU MIGHT BE AN IDIOT, TOO
If you think like Barack Obama, that WORKING CLASS PEOPLE are just a bunch of BITTER!, STUPID, PEASANTS, Cash COWS!, and CANNON FODDER.
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think Barack Obama with little or no experience would be better than Hillary Clinton with 35 years experience.
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think that Obama with no experience can fix an economy on the verge of collapse better than Hillary Clinton. Whose husband (Bill Clinton) led the greatest economic expansion, and prosperity in American history.
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think that Obama with no experience fighting for universal health care can get it for you better than Hillary Clinton. Who anticipated this current health care crisis back in 1993, and fought a pitched battle against overwhelming odds to get universal health care for all the American people.
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think that Obama with no experience can manage, and get us out of two wars better than Hillary Clinton. Whose husband (Bill Clinton) went to war only when he was convinced that he absolutely had to. Then completed the mission in record time against a nuclear power. AND DID NOT LOSE THE LIFE OF A SINGLE AMERICAN SOLDIER. NOT ONE!
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think that Obama with no experience saving the environment is better than Hillary Clinton. Whose husband (Bill Clinton) left office with the greatest amount of environmental cleanup, and protections in American history.
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think that Obama with little or no education experience is better than Hillary Clinton. Whose husband (Bill Clinton) made higher education affordable for every American. And created higher job demand and starting salary’s than they had ever been before or since.
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think that Obama with no experience will be better than Hillary Clinton who spent 8 years at the right hand of President Bill Clinton. Who is already on record as one of the greatest Presidents in American history.
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think that you can change the way Washington works with pretty speeches from Obama, rather than with the experience, and political expertise of two master politicians ON YOUR SIDE like Hillary and Bill Clinton..
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
If you think all those Republicans voting for Obama in the Democratic primaries, and caucuses are doing so because they think he is a stronger Democratic candidate than Hillary Clinton.
Best regards
jacksmith… Working Class
p.s.
If you don’t know that the huge amounts of money funding the Obama campaign to try and defeat Hillary Clinton is coming in from the insurance, and medical industry, that has been ripping you off, and killing you and your children. And denying you, and your loved ones the life saving medical care you needed. All just so they can make more huge immoral profits for them-selves off of your suffering…
You Might Be An Idiot, Too!
You see, back in 1993 Hillary Clinton had the audacity, and nerve to try and get quality, affordable universal health care for everyone to prevent the suffering and needless deaths of hundreds of thousands of you each year.
Approx. 100,000 of you die each year from medical accidents from a rush to profit by the insurance, and medical industry. Another 120,000 of you die each year from treatable illness that people in other developed countries don’t die from. And I could go on, and on…
Comment by jacksmith on 16 April 2008:
DON’T BE DUPED !!!
Large numbers of Republicans have been voting for Barack Obama in the DEMOCRATIC primaries, and caucuses from early on. Because they feel he would be a weaker opponent against John McCain. With Hillary Clinton you are almost 100% certain to get quality, affordable universal health care very soon.
But first, all of you have to make certain that Hillary Clinton takes the democratic nomination and then the Whitehouse. NOW! is the time. THIS! is the moment you have all been working, and waiting for. You can do this America. “Carpe diem” (harvest the day).
I think Hillary Clinton see’s a beautiful world of plenty for all. She’s a woman, and a mother. And it’s time America. Do this for your-selves, and your children’s future. You will have to work together on this and be aggressive, relentless, and creative. Americans face an even worse catastrophe ahead than the one you are living through now.
You see, the medical and insurance industry mostly support the republicans with the money they ripped off from you. And they don’t want you to have quality, affordable universal health care. They want to be able to continue to rip you off, and kill you and your children by continuing to deny you life saving medical care that you have already paid for. So they can continue to make more immoral profits for them-selves.
Hillary Clinton has actually won by much larger margins than the vote totals showed. And lost by much smaller vote margins than the vote totals showed. Her delegate count is actually much higher than it shows. And higher than Obama’s. She also leads in the electoral college numbers that you must win to become President in the November national election. HILLARY CLINTON IS ALREADY THE TRUE DEMOCRATIC NOMINEE!
As much as 30% of Obama’s primary, and caucus votes are Republicans trying to choose the weakest democratic candidate for McCain to run against. These Republicans have been gaming the caucuses where it is easier to vote cheat. This is why Obama has not been able to win the BIG! states primaries. Even with Republican vote cheating help.
Hillary Clinton has been OUT MANNED! OUT GUNNED! and OUT SPENT! 4 and 5 to 1. Yet Obama has only been able to manage a very tenuous, and questionable tie with Hillary Clinton.
If Obama is the democratic nominee for the national election in November he will be slaughtered. Because the Republican vote cheating help will suddenly evaporate. All of this vote fraud and republican manipulation has made Obama falsely look like a much stronger candidate than he really is. YOUNG PEOPLE. DON’T BE DUPED! Think about it. You have the most to lose.
The democratic party needs to fix this outrage. Everyone needs to throw all your support to Hillary Clinton NOW! So you can end this outrage against YOU the voter, and against democracy.
The democratic party, and the super-delegates have a decision to make. Are the democrats, and the democratic party going to choose the DEMOCRATIC party nominee to fight for the American people. Or are the republicans going to choose the DEMOCRATIC party nominee through vote fraud, and gaming the DEMOCRATIC party primaries, and caucuses.
Fortunately the Clinton’s have been able to hold on against this fraudulent outrage with those repeated dramatic comebacks of Hillary Clinton’s. Only the Clinton’s are that resourceful, and strong. Hillary Clinton is your NOMINEE. They are the best I have ever seen.
“This is not a game” (Hillary Clinton)
Sincerely
jacksmith… Working Class
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