Are the old fashioned polls really accurate anymore?

According to the Centers for Disease Control – NO

The CDC recently published their concern that the poling they do on a regular basis for disease control is no longer accurate. According to the CDC, landline phones are being disconnected at an alarming rate in favor of one simple cell phone. Its estimated that a large majority of Americans age 18-45 only have a cell phone. Since cell phones are not counted in polling, the results are bias towards the poor and an older population.

In addition, with the advent of no call lists, internet phones, cable phones and unlisted numbers, traditional landline polling has become more of voodoo polling rather than scientific.

As to Ron Paul, all these points factor in to his low showing in the old fashioned polls, not to mention the fact that most pollsters only poll those that voted in the previous Republican primaries and do not include new voters, independents, Democrats or even third party members like those from Libertarian and Constitution Parties.

One last issue is base support. Since the Republican base dwindled to an all time low in the last 2006 election, an interesting result occurs when the pollster calls the voter. Voters that likely stayed within the Republican Party and voted in the massive loss to Democrats in 2006 will be the ones polled, while those Republicans that became frustrated and voted for another party or refused to vote at all will not be counted or called. Ron Paul should be able to pick up many of the frustrated traditional conservative Republicans that became fed up with the direction of the Republican Party.

Look for Ron Paul to win New Hampshire and South Carolina