Today: Thursday, 30 May 2024 year

Aleppo will eventually fall, but Syrian war will go on

Aleppo will eventually fall, but Syrian war will go on

The situation in Syria is entirely in the hands of Russia. It may take weeks or months, but Aleppo is likely to fall to Assad regime forces backed by Russian air power, which are doing the most lethal and massive bombardment in nearly six years of war.

Aleppo, the capital of Syria, is an extremely important city because of it is an economic and trading center. On the northwest of Syria Aleppo is the key city to controlling country. In other terms, for sitting President Bashar al-Assad and his Russian and Iranian allies will be the real military triumph.

But even the fact of the falling of Aleppo is not the end to the war, military and political analysts remind. Too many forces and armed groups in Syria have appeared in six years of war. For all of them, the war became a business, there are certain agreements, so militants aren’t interested in the end of the military conflict. It’ll be real hard to pacify Sunnis, for example.

The U.S. Ambassador to Syria in 2011-14 said: “The Russians are doing in Aleppo and Syria what they did in Grozny — it is the same”, Robert Ford refers to the fierce bombardment that all but destroyed the capital of Russia’s Chechnya region during Moscow’s 1999-2000 war against Islamist separatists there.

“Maybe it’s going to take five years, maybe it will take 10 years … (but) he (Assad) will be the leader of a broken country,” Ford said, meaning the situation in Syria.